Also lurking in the waves and wind are the impacts of climate change and the higher sea levels scientists say it is causing. "You see?" They also make sure the petroleum tanks themselves are at least halfway full. This article represents the opinion of the Tampa Bay Times Editorial Board. This includes the 1935 Labor Day Hurricane which was remembered as one of the most intense U.S. hurricanes based on pressure and maximum wind speeds," Samuhel said. While many people who have lived in Florida for a while believe they have experienced a truly catastrophic hurricane, few have. Key West, like Miami, has a 16 percent chance of being impacted by a hurricane during any Atlantic hurricane season. A myth has grown over the last century that Native American mounds are protecting the Tampa Bay area from major hurricanes. It is one of the few coastal places skipped over by Spanish explorers, the only people who wrote descriptions of early Florida. As a hurricane's winds diminish, so does its ability to cause damage. The storm caused roughly $5 million in damage at the time. In this aerial image, the city of Tampa, Fla., is seen Monday, Sept. 26, 2022. So, for everyone watching this report or reading this article, whether you believe in jinxes, superstitions, curses or the supernatural, do us a favor and knock on some wood for good luck. Tony DeAngelo , for instance, put up 51 points in 64 games with the club last season before they cut him loose. Weve made it through another major that was supposed to come right at us. "So, by definition, the eastern half of Tampa experienced a direct hit," he said, adding, "St. Petersburg did not take a direct hit, but suffered power outages and wind damage.". Based upon data from NOAAs Hurricane Research Division, here are the top five most vulnerable U.S. cities to hurricanes. All the petroleum and liquid chemical tanks have big berms around them that, in theory, would stop any petroleum that might leak out escaping the property. It was so tightly wound that many likened it to a giant tornado, causing buzz saw damage along its path. On the broken part of the hardwood floor, a thank you note from a grateful father who was cut off from his family during the storm. Since then, the Tampa Bay has remained untouched. Many believe it protects them from hurricanes, even though Hurricane Wilma blew through town just two years ago. By Whether Sarasota residents actually believe the American Indian myth depends on whom you ask. "The surge would likely be higher. Although a major hurricane is long overdue in Miami, the city has dealt with its share of intense hurricanes in the past. Local legend has it that mounds built by the Tocobaga tribe hundreds of years ago, protected the area from major storms for centuries. "The land around New Orleans is sinking, which puts the city in more danger if another major hurricane strike.". It may sound hard to believe, but Florida has only seen 4 landfalling category 4 or greater storms in the past 50 years. Lisa Parker draws a blank when asked where she heard it, but she knows she did. Tampa has avoided a direct hit by a major hurricane since 1921." This map of Cat 3 storms shows only one direct hit on Englewood in 1944 since 1851 However The Great Hurricane of 1921, The No-Name Storm of October 08, 1993 and many lesser unnamed storms have done extensive damage Links related to the "Indian Legend" The most obvious reason weve avoided major hurricane problems sheer dumb luck. On October 25, 1921, the Tampa Bay Area suffered the most destructive hurricane to hit the area since the 1800s. According to Tampa Historical, an interactive web exhibit created and maintained by students and faculty at the University of South Florida; the storm was dubbed the "Granddaddy" of all hurricanes: Fort Brooke was a small military outpost located in the heart of where modern-day downtown Tampa now sits. Over the past 173 years, Tampa Bay has only been hit by two major hurricanes. Miami takes the number one spot on this list with a 16 percent chance of experiencing the impacts of a hurricane in any given year. That has been our story for nearly a hundred years now," Rui Farias, executive director of the St. Petersburg Museum of History, told AccuWeather. "Like Miami, Tampa is a large metropolitan area and the effects of a hurricane would be widespread throughout the city," Samuhel explained. ", In the Tarpon Springs Leader, the newspaper rejoiced following the passing of the storm, "Sponge Boats Safe; No Greek Life Lost. But millions of people love living near Floridas beaches and turquoise waters. But after wreaking havoc in the Florida Keys, Naples and Miami, Irma weakened and limped to the east of Tampa Bay as a manageable Category 1. This map shows hurricanes that have passed with 100 miles of St. Petersburg, Florida since 1960. One of the nation's largest fully excavated native burial grounds, at Historic Spanish Point in Osprey, offers few additional clues, only that people lived in the area as early as 3,000 B.C. Tampa Bay is shallow and many low-lying neighborhoods get flooded during a strong rainstorm. However, only a few have survived the development the area has undergone in modern times. These catastrophic storms were Hurricane Andrew in 1992, Hurricane Charley in 2004, Hurricane Irma in 2017 and Hurricane Michael in 2018. Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when yousubscribe to Premium+on theAccuWeather app.AccuWeather Alertsare prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer. The last one hit more . This piece of folklore came from my co-worker, who grew up in Tampa, Florida. Oct. 25, 1921 marks 100 years without major a hurricane. The explorers visited the Calusa tribe just south in Charlotte Harbor, and the Tocobaga just north in Tampa Bay, but they passed over the stretch of relatively linear coast in between. Tampa Bay has had some close calls with hurricanes. Its almost like when a myth becomes history, Farias said. (DroneBase via AP), Connect with the definitive source for global and local news. There are a number of serious hazards that come along with hurricanes striking a coastal area. The central wastewater treatment plant, Howard Curren Advanced Wastewater Treatment Plant, is in the middle of Port Tampa Bay. It's certainly possible some of the pipelines could be damaged.". The western coast of Florida has endured its share of hurricanes, and the city of Tampa is no exception. "There's nothing wrong with having faith, but if people believe that, one day their luck will run out and there will be serious loss of life," said Stephen Leatherman, director of Florida International University's International Hurricane Center. Or is there a supernatural force protecting us? The members of the Editorial Board are Editor of Editorials Graham Brink, Sherri Day, Sebastian Dortch, John Hill, Jim Verhulst and Chairman and CEO Conan Gallaty. The National Hurricane Center is predicting storm surge in Tampa Bay and surrounding waters of between 5 and 10 feet (1.5 and 3 meters) above normal tide conditions and rainfall of between 10 and 15 inches (12 and 25 centimeters) because of Hurricane Ian. Also known as the Tarpon Springs hurricane, the Category 3 storm leveled the region with up to 115 mph winds. That nearly league-minimum salary is exactly why the Lightning had to pay so much, and continues their trend of acquiring players with team control. ", "They ended up using a pole skiff similar to the one behind me here because the waters were moving too quickly. It was a formidable storm, but nowhere near as strong as it could have been. We asked. And next week, forecasters are predicting yet another one within striking distance. When asked about a myth spreading around town, county archaeologist Dan Hughes jumped in: "Let me guess. Most of the dead drowned in the storm surge. Over the past century, there have been several close calls. Those Tocobagan mounds can only hold back so many storms. There are two version of the Native American folklore: either the knowledge that Sarasota was a safe haven was passed through generations of Native peoples or their burials places provided the protection from hurricanes. ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. (AP) Its been more than a century since a major storm like Hurricane Ian has struck the Tampa Bay area, which blossomed from a few hundred thousand people in 1921 to more than 3 million today. In addition to this, a majority of the population resides within 20 miles of the coastline increasing the risk of high property damage. Red tide is back (again) in Pinellas County. I have no idea. As sea level rises, the same storm surge will be able to flood more areas because the baseline upon which its happening is higher, McNoldy said. Another reminder of Floridas massive hurricane risk | Editorial. The previous year, a much-weakened Tropical Storm Eta made landfall about 130 miles north of Tampa in November 2020. The National Hurricane Center is predicting storm surge in Tampa Bay and surrounding waters of between 5 and 10 feet (1.5 and 3 meters) above normal tide conditions and rainfall of between 10 and 15 inches (12 and 25 centimeters) because of Hurricane Ian. After all, they are called barriers for a reason. Hurricane Ian could threaten all of that development. "It looks a lot better out there from any of the beaches to the south," Heil said. The article went on to say, "the tropical storm which was reported Monday to be moving towards St. Petersburg, failed to reach here with any force Monday night, according to the local weather bureau.". Baram first heard the story at a dinner party several years ago. This causes the hurricane to become downgraded as it moves inland. Bonni Fox, from a neighbor. The bottom line is, most people who live in the state have never experienced the full wrath of major hurricane. Fox, of Nokomis, who has lived in the area since 1959, shakes her head. Its no wonder that actuaries get cross-eyed looking at Floridas property insurance risk. These include high winds, heavy rains, a storm surge, and tornadoes. "It's like a lot of urban myths; there's no origin, but somehow everyone knows it," Baram said. Not since the Tarpon Springs hurricane struck the region in 1921 has Tampa Bay been directly hit by a major storm. The last time Tampa Bay was hit by a major storm was Oct. 25, 1921. Sept. 27, 2022. "A lot of people say it's the Indian mounds," Farias replied. Kottlowski explained that Irma "was a Cat 1 when it passed just east ofdowntown Tampa with a tropical-storm-force wind field of over 300 miles. This is no joke. A family was rushing to higher ground as the storm surge came in. Where would everyone go? The Predators will receive: Jeannot, 25, comes to Tampa Bay as he finishes up a two-year contract that carries an $800K average annual value. Although there were tragically two deaths in the Sarasota area, and reports of damage and power outages elsewhere, the region was, for the most part, spared. Others believe that they blessed the lands to stay eternally safe from destructive storms and hurricanes. ", Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. "Spaghetti plots" are collections of potential forecast tracks for tropical stormsbased on slightly different possible weather conditions. With the Atlantic Ocean to the east and a maximum elevation of 42 feet above sea level Miamis geography makes it highly vulnerable to hurricanes. Will we allow for more density in coastal high-hazard areas? Did local Indian mounds save Tampa Bay from Irma's worst, Records show the region has a stormy past, Sarasota,Florida's history with tropical systems, Interactive chart showing 74 Storms - 1930 - 2010 ( Error on map but good info ), Manasota Key Ignored By Media During Hurricane Irma, Worst Hurricanes to hit Florida in the Past Century, Links to local YouTube videos taken during Hurricane Irma, Irma Youtube Videos taken on Manasota Key, YouTube - Gulf to Bay After Irma - September 15, 2017, YouTube - The Beach at Gulf to Bay After Irma. ", On October 27, 1921, a report in the Tampa Daily Times predicted the 100-year streak of good luck that followed. Sarasota has not been a bull's-eye for a major hurricane since reliable records began in 1871. In fact, our coastal location, topography, and large population make us significantly vulnerable to a wide array of hazards, including hurricanes, floods, tornadoes, and sinkholes. A report from the First Street Foundation paints the states grim hurricane future. TAMPA, Fla The National Weather Service (NSW) provided preliminary surge and reverse surge measurements Thursday morning in the wake of then-Hurricane Ian. One, we are very worried about hurricanes. According to the NSW, Naples saw a. Most storms move south to north and south of Tampa is Marco Island," which is where Irma made landfall. One gives credit to nature's fortunate placement of dunes off the coast. As the Gulf Coast just south of Tampa Bay recovers from the devastation left from Hurricane Ian, many Tampa Bay residents are breathing an uneasy sigh of relief. Regardless of luck, hurricane mythology is popular in other places, too. Hurricane-force winds can destroy mobile homes and buildings. "I told you about that blessing.". "Every spaghetti line had the thing going into St. Petersburg. According to Berardelli, hurricanes would have to make the perfect turn to the east in order to make landfall in Tampa Bay, therefore making a direct hit on the region would be somewhat difficult. As hurricanes move inland, they can no longer feed off of the warm water of the Gulf of Mexico or Atlantic Ocean, and so they lose strength. It is these experiences which concern hurricane experts and emergency managers because it can lead to a false sense of security, feeling they have already seen the worst of Mother Nature, but in reality it can be much worse. Breathing issues are possible at some beaches. "It's sort of protected here.". If there is an extra high tide, 18-20 feet higher than normal tidal level. The NWS describes the hurricane as "the forgotten nightmare." "These numbers are not based upon property damage but instead focus on the chances that a hurricane will strike a region based upon factors such as geography and location. How to avoid the potentially deadly grip of a rip current. We keep building in the most storm-prone areas. "It really tells us two things. But the truly catastrophic winds were confined to the southern half of the county. They can come from a group of models or one ensemble model that creates multiple possible storm tracks. Fox 13 reports that Tampa Bay residents are preparing for Hurricane Ian, a category 3 storm that could be catastrophic. Tampa Bay was beginning a land boom, and the roaring twenties were in full swing. July 2, 2020, 10:58 AM. Profanity, personal Technically, Irma did make a direct hit on part of Tampa in 2017, though it was a bit of a glancing blow from a weakened hurricane. The Tampa Bay area hasn't suffered a direct hit from a hurricane since 1929. But many still believe the blessing protects us. The Burgert Brothers Photographic Collection at the Hillsborough County Public Library Cooperative contained the most pictures of the storm. It would not have taken too much of pattern a shift for that to happen. The unnamed hurricane of 1921 that some now call the Tarpon Springs Hurricane was a category three hurricane packing winds over 100 miles per hour and a storm surge of 11 feet. Andrews total damage cost was $26.5 billion as communities in the surrounding areas were severely affected due to its intense winds and high storm surge. "Folk tales give us comfort, so we use something we can't disprove," Baram said. The mounds were used as temples, homes and burial grounds. A hundred years of good luck? Even if the hurricane makes . Elev8 Fun is a family-friendly entertainment concept that is coming to How To Save Money While Preparing for Hurricane Season, Prepare for Hurricane Season: Learn New Hillsborough Evacuation Zones, Ready Pinellas Emergency Planning App Updated for 2022 Hurricane Season, Expect a Competitive Shopping Season, Despite Few Available Homes, Gasparilla International Film Festival Draws Hundreds of Submissions, City Taking Next Steps in Expanding Tampa Riverwalk, New Research Measures the Quality of Work and Life in the Tampa Bay region, Ranked: The Worlds Most and Least Powerful Passports in 2023. "Or would they let a hurricane hit to get even with the Spanish and the white settlers that moved down from the north and took their land? "Could it be people from the past protecting the present?" Rui Farias, executive director of the St. Petersburg Museum of History, told the Tampa Bay Times after Hurricane Irmas near miss in 2017 that many people still believe it. "The probabilities are based upon 126 years of hurricane data and storm paths dating back to the 1800s," AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski said. Although he did not know much about the history of the Calusa Indians, what he did know was the legend in Tampa that the Calusa Indians cast a spell to keep them safe. "Cape Hatteras is very close to the Gulf Stream, which enables hurricanes to strengthen due to warmer ocean temperatures during the summer," Samuhel explained. Tocobagan Indian Mounds have been found in Safety Harbor and near the Gandy. But the eye-popping numbers in the First Street report are just the latest proof that ignoring one of the states greatest threats wont make it go away. So while we love the memes of a carefree Tampa: Make sure to prepare for every hurricane. The last time Tampa Bay was hit by a major storm was Oct. 25, 1921. I keep my fingers crossed all hurricane season," Dr. Luther said. Hurricane Gladys produced 100 mph winds in Clearwater. Kottlowski cautions that the Tampa Bay area is "long overdue for a landfall," but he attributes the region's location and the history of tracks that storms take as the reason the area has escaped the worst throughout the years. Tampa-Hillsborough County Public Library System. Can we build even stronger buildings, and should we? For centuries, the Tocobaga tribe inhabited the coastline of Tampa Bay, surviving on a diet consisting mostly of fish and shellfish. Everything underwater, massive flooding," Dr. Luther said. On Nov. 14, 1993, during Founder's Day she talked about her memories of the storm. It's 11-foot storm surge flooded downtown Tampa and turned St. Petersburg into an. attacks, and spam will not be tolerated. Is Tampa protected from hurricanes? Part of being ready is encouraging our elected officials to address the tough question about where to keep building and how to build. Because the system was so tight, it was able to remain intense far inland, even into southern and eastern portions of the Bay Area. Phil Klotzbach, research scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University, noted that only one of five hurricanes at Category 3 strength or higher has struck Tampa Bay since 1851. The problem confronting the region is that storms approaching from the south, as Hurricane Ian is on track to do, bulldoze huge volumes of water up into shallow Tampa Bay and are likely to inundate homes and businesses. Another, to the magic powers of Siesta Key's white sand beaches and underwater crystals. "That just added huge credibility to this myth," Farias said. "That the hurricanes are heading right for us and just veer off course.. At least eight people died and damage was estimated at $5 million at the time. "Tampa City of Ruins," "Bayshore Swept Clean," "Estimate Losses More than a Million Dollars," "Refugees Flee from Flood at Oldsmar," "Two Dead at St. Petersburg: Twelve are Trapped on Island," "One Drowns and another Electrocuted. With climate change and sea-level rise, Dr. Luther says a storm similar to the 1921 hurricane would be even worse. As the Tampa Bay Times explains, it's likely that Ian will bring up to a foot of rain in the area and some experts, including meteorologist Jeff Masters, have compared it to 2005's Hurricane Katrina. "We have plans in place to be able to get out and do that damage assessment right away to do that debris clearance," Perkins said. "It would be catastrophic. There are red flags everywhere: Many of our most densely populated communities are adjacent to the ocean or the gulf. The 1921 storm sent a storm surge all the way into downtown Tampa into Ybor. And, that is how they came straight up the streets of Cortez to this very schoolhouse we are standing in right now.". A picture hangs in the museum showing boats outside the brick schoolhouse. Today, that number is almost 395,000. "I love that story.". The evacuations could affect 300,000 people or more in Hillsborough County alone. And it could be bad. Those figures are based on a Tampa . 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With reverse storm surge, especially in larger storms like Ian, the opposite happens, explained Pastelok. Doris Anderson isn't necessarily one of them. A safe haven for so many families caught off guard by the winds and surge. Did American Indians who roamed the land centuries ago protect Pinellas with a blessing? The most prominent story has to do with American Indians. But the legend grows each year that goes by without a destructive storm battering the Tampa Bay area. There are urban legends that the Sunshine Skyway protects Tampa Bay. Is Tampa Safe from Hurricanes? And a twist. Due to global warming, global climate models predict hurricanes will likely cause more intense rainfall and have an increased coastal flood risk due to higher storm surge caused by rising seas, Angela Colbert, a scientist at NASAs Jet Propulsion Laboratory, wrote in a June report. 26, 2022 Sept. 26, 2022 places, too of folklore from. 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